Race Review/27 September 2026/1 min
R15: Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix — Deep Dive
Predictions vs reality at Round 15
Race Summary
George Russell won the Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix from pole, scoring 25 points for Mercedes.
The podium was completed by Max Verstappen (Red Bull) and Isack Hadjar (Red Bull).
Predictions vs Reality
Our model gave George Russell a 12.3% chance of winning before the race, with an expected finishing position of 5.22.
Biggest Over-Performer
Esteban Ocon beat the model's expectation by 6.7 positions (expected 14.67, finished 8).
Championship Impact
Kimi Antonelli leads the championship with 302 points.
George Russell trails by 66 points.
Lewis Hamilton trails by 103 points.
Lando Norris trails by 116 points.
Elo Movers
George Russell gained +7.0 Elo points after this race, now at 1539.