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Data Driver
2026 SEASON

Season Outlook

With 15 races run, Mercedes have established themselves as the constructor to beat under the new regulations. Kimi Antonelli leads the championship with 302 points. George Russell sits second on 236 pts.

Races remaining8
P1 → P2 gap+66drivers
P1 → P2 gap+160constructors
Called off2

Championship projections based on race-by-race Monte Carlo simulation. 8 races remaining, 2 called off.

01 / DRIVERS CHAMPIONSHIP

Drivers' Championship

1
Kimi Antonelli
302

462.9 expected pts

99%

title

2
George Russell
236

361.8 expected pts

1%

title

3
Lewis Hamilton
199

305.3 expected pts

4
Lando Norris
186

285.1 expected pts

5
Charles Leclerc
179

274.0 expected pts

6
Max Verstappen

Max Verstappen

Red Bull Racing

163

249.8 expected pts

7
Oscar Piastri
120

184.3 expected pts

8
Isack Hadjar

Isack Hadjar

Red Bull Racing

86

131.7 expected pts

9
Liam Lawson

Liam Lawson

Racing Bulls

59

90.3 expected pts

10
Pierre Gasly
41

63.1 expected pts

11
Arvid Lindblad

Arvid Lindblad

Racing Bulls

37

56.6 expected pts

12
Franco Colapinto
27

41.2 expected pts

13
Oliver Bearman

Oliver Bearman

Haas F1 Team

20

30.8 expected pts

14
Gabriel Bortoleto
10

15.3 expected pts

15
Nico Hulkenberg
7

10.7 expected pts

16
Esteban Ocon

Esteban Ocon

Haas F1 Team

7

10.7 expected pts

17
Carlos Sainz

Carlos Sainz

Williams

7

10.7 expected pts

18
Alexander Albon
5

7.6 expected pts

19
Fernando Alonso

Fernando Alonso

Aston Martin

3

4.6 expected pts

20
YT

Yuki Tsunoda

Racing Bulls

1

1.5 expected pts

21
Lance Stroll

Lance Stroll

Aston Martin

0
22
Valtteri Bottas
0
23
Sergio Perez

Sergio Perez

Cadillac

0
02 / CONSTRUCTORS

Constructors' Championship

1
Mercedes

Mercedes

538
>99%
2
Ferrari

Ferrari

378
3
McLaren

McLaren

306
4
Red Bull Racing

Red Bull Racing

263
5
Racing Bulls

Racing Bulls

83
6
Alpine

Alpine

68
7
Haas F1 Team

Haas F1 Team

27
8
Audi

Audi

17
9
Williams

Williams

12
10
Aston Martin

Aston Martin

3
11
Cadillac

Cadillac

0
03 / RACE TIMELINE

Race Timeline

Follow the championship race by race after reading its current state. Completed rounds show results; upcoming rounds show the model favourite.

1
R01

Formula 1 Qatar Airways Australian Grand Prix 2026

2026-03-08Melbourne Grand Prix Circuit

George Russell

2
R02 · SPRINT

Formula 1 Heineken Chinese Grand Prix 2026

2026-03-15Shanghai International Circuit

Kimi Antonelli

3
R03

Formula 1 Aramco Japanese Grand Prix 2026

2026-03-29Suzuka Circuit

Kimi Antonelli

CANCELLED

Formula 1 Gulf Air Bahrain Grand Prix 2026

2026-04-12Bahrain International Circuit

Cancelled

CANCELLED

Formula 1 stc Saudi Arabian Grand Prix 2026

2026-04-19Jeddah Corniche Circuit

Cancelled

4
R04 · SPRINT

Formula 1 Crypto.com Miami Grand Prix 2026

2026-05-03Miami International Autodrome

Kimi Antonelli

5
R05 · SPRINT

Formula 1 Lenovo Grand Prix du Canada 2026

2026-05-24Circuit Gilles Villeneuve

Kimi Antonelli

6
R06

Formula 1 Louis Vuitton Grand Prix de Monaco 2026

2026-06-07Circuit de Monaco

Kimi Antonelli

7
R07

Formula 1 MSC Cruises Gran Premio de Barcelona-Catalunya 2026

2026-06-14Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya

Lewis Hamilton

8
R08

Formula 1 Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix 2026

2026-06-28Red Bull Ring

George Russell

9
R09 · SPRINT

Formula 1 Pirelli British Grand Prix 2026

2026-07-05Silverstone Circuit

Charles Leclerc

10
R10

Formula 1 Moët & Chandon Belgian Grand Prix 2026

2026-07-19Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps

Kimi Antonelli

11
R11

Formula 1 AWS Hungarian Grand Prix 2026

2026-07-26Hungaroring

Lando Norris

12
R12 · SPRINT

Formula 1 Heineken Dutch Grand Prix 2026

2026-08-23Circuit Park Zandvoort

Lando Norris

13
R13

Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio d'Italia 2026

2026-09-06Autodromo Nazionale Monza

Kimi Antonelli

14
R14

Formula 1 TAG Heuer Gran Premio de España 2026

2026-09-13Circuito de Madring

Kimi Antonelli

15
R15

Formula 1 Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix 2026

2026-09-26Baku City Circuit

George Russell

R16

Formula 1 Gulf Air Bahrain Grand Prix in Malaysia 2026

2026-10-04Sepang International Circuit

Fav: George Russell

25%

R17 · SPRINT

Formula 1 Singapore Airlines Singapore Grand Prix 2026

2026-10-11Marina Bay Street Circuit
R18

Formula 1 MSC Cruises United States Grand Prix 2026

2026-10-25Circuit of the Americas
R19

Formula 1 Gran Premio de la Ciudad de México 2026

2026-11-01Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez
R20

Formula 1 MSC Cruises Grande Prêmio de São Paulo 2026

2026-11-08Autódromo José Carlos Pace
R21

Formula 1 Heineken Las Vegas Grand Prix 2026

2026-11-22Las Vegas Street Circuit
R22

Formula 1 Qatar Airways Qatar Grand Prix 2026

2026-11-29Lusail International Circuit
R23

Formula 1 Etihad Airways Abu Dhabi Grand Prix 2026

2026-12-06Yas Marina Circuit