
#3Oracle Red Bull Racing
Max Verstappen
The reigning champion is struggling with the RB22 under 2026 regulations. A Q1 elimination in Australia and a DNF in China represent his worst start to a season in years. The car, not the driver, appears to be the limiting factor.
UPCOMING
Next Race Predictions
P(Win)
8.0%
P(Podium)
28%
E[Position]
5.5
E[Points]
9.1
Win probability8%
Podium probability28%
Points finish72%
Fastest lap10%
DNF risk5%
Position Distribution
Probability of finishing in each position (10,000 simulations)
8%P1
11%P2
9%P3
26%P4-6
18%P7-10
28%P11+
2026 Season Results
| Round | Race | Result |
|---|---|---|
| R01 | Australian GP | P7 |
| R02 | Chinese GP | DNF |
| R03 | Japanese GP | P8 |
Head-to-Head vs Isack Hadjar
Qualifying
2-1
Race
2-1
Points
+8
Predictions
Open
Verstappen wins before R8
25% Yes