Max Verstappen
#3Oracle Red Bull Racing

Max Verstappen

The reigning champion is struggling with the RB22 under 2026 regulations. A Q1 elimination in Australia and a DNF in China represent his worst start to a season in years. The car, not the driver, appears to be the limiting factor.

WDCP8
Points8
P(Title)4%
TeammateIsack Hadjar
UPCOMING

Next Race Predictions

P(Win)

8.0%

P(Podium)

28%

E[Position]

5.5

E[Points]

9.1

Win probability8%
Podium probability28%
Points finish72%
Fastest lap10%
DNF risk5%

Position Distribution

Probability of finishing in each position (10,000 simulations)

8%
P1
11%
P2
9%
P3
26%
P4-6
18%
P7-10
28%
P11+

2026 Season Results

RoundRaceResult
R01Australian GPP7
R02Chinese GPDNF
R03Japanese GPP8

Head-to-Head vs Isack Hadjar

Qualifying

2-1

Race

2-1

Points

+8

Predictions

Open

Verstappen wins before R8

25% Yes