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LIVE PREDICTION

R15 · Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio d'Italia 2026

Hamilton beats Leclerc

Lewis Hamilton finishes ahead of Charles Leclerc.

YES PROBABILITY

71.4%

Yes 71.4%No 28.6%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Binary prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
70.6%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
94.9%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P3.7

Model expectation

Expected points
16.9

Model expectation