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LIVE PREDICTION

R15 · Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio d'Italia 2026

Verstappen scores points

73% chance of finishing in the top 10.

YES PROBABILITY

73.2%

Yes 73.2%No 26.9%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Binary prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
8.8%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
73.2%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P8.8

Model expectation

Expected points
5.2

Model expectation