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LIVE PREDICTION

R15 · Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio d'Italia 2026

Gasly scores points

45% chance of finishing in the top 10.

YES PROBABILITY

45.4%

Yes 45.4%No 54.6%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Binary prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
2.5%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
45.4%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P11.4

Model expectation

Expected points
2.3

Model expectation