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LIVE PREDICTION

R15 · Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio d'Italia 2026

George Russell on the podium

Predicted 38% chance of top 3.

YES PROBABILITY

38.5%

Yes 38.5%No 61.5%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Binary prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
38.5%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
93%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P5.5

Model expectation

Expected points
11.7

Model expectation