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LIVE PREDICTION

R15 · Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio d'Italia 2026

Lando Norris on the podium

Predicted 26% chance of top 3.

YES PROBABILITY

25.7%

Yes 25.7%No 74.3%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Binary prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
25.7%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
89.9%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P6.5

Model expectation

Expected points
9.5

Model expectation