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LIVE PREDICTION

R15 · Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio d'Italia 2026

Oscar Piastri on the podium

Predicted 21% chance of top 3.

YES PROBABILITY

20.9%

Yes 20.9%No 79.1%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Binary prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
20.9%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
87.4%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P6.9

Model expectation

Expected points
8.5

Model expectation