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LIVE PREDICTION

R16 · Formula 1 TAG Heuer Gran Premio de España 2026

Tsunoda scores points

47% chance of finishing in the top 10.

YES PROBABILITY

47.1%

Yes 47.1%No 52.9%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Binary prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
1.8%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
47.1%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P11.2

Model expectation

Expected points
2.2

Model expectation