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LIVE PREDICTION

R16 · Formula 1 TAG Heuer Gran Premio de España 2026

George Russell on the podium

Predicted 43% chance of top 3.

YES PROBABILITY

42.8%

Yes 42.8%No 57.2%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Binary prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
42.8%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
93.9%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P5.1

Model expectation

Expected points
12.5

Model expectation