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LIVE PREDICTION

R16 · Formula 1 TAG Heuer Gran Premio de España 2026

Lando Norris on the podium

Predicted 27% chance of top 3.

YES PROBABILITY

27.3%

Yes 27.3%No 72.7%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Binary prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
27.3%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
91.7%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P6.1

Model expectation

Expected points
10.1

Model expectation