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LIVE PREDICTION

R14 · Formula 1 Heineken Dutch Grand Prix 2026

Lando Norris wins the race

Published race-winner probability from The Data Driver model.

YES PROBABILITY

9.5%

Yes 9.5%No 90.5%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Race prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
31.8%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
93.7%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P5.7

Model expectation

Expected points
10.8

Model expectation