Data Driver
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LIVE PREDICTION

R15 · Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio d'Italia 2026

Pierre Gasly wins the race

Published race-winner probability from The Data Driver model.

YES PROBABILITY

0.35%

Yes 0.35%No 99.7%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Race prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
2.5%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
45.4%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P11.4

Model expectation

Expected points
2.3

Model expectation