Data Driver
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LIVE PREDICTION

R15 · Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio d'Italia 2026

Lewis Hamilton wins the race

Published race-winner probability from The Data Driver model.

YES PROBABILITY

32.3%

Yes 32.3%No 67.7%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Race prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
70.6%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
94.9%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P3.7

Model expectation

Expected points
16.9

Model expectation