Data Driver
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LIVE PREDICTION

R15 · Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio d'Italia 2026

Liam Lawson wins the race

Published race-winner probability from The Data Driver model.

YES PROBABILITY

1.1%

Yes 1.1%No 98.9%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Race prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
6.6%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
67.1%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P9.4

Model expectation

Expected points
4.4

Model expectation