R15 · Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio d'Italia 2026
Lando Norris wins the race
Published race-winner probability from The Data Driver model.
YES PROBABILITY
5.9%
Yes 5.9%No 94.1%
PUBLISHED SOURCE
Race prediction endpoint
MODEL
ensemble-elo-form-team-v4
What the API provides
- Podium
- 25.7%
- Points finish
- 89.9%
- Expected finish
- P6.5
- Expected points
- 9.5
Published probability of a top-three finish
Published probability of finishing in the points
Model expectation
Model expectation