Data Driver
← Back to predictions
LIVE PREDICTION

R15 · Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio d'Italia 2026

Oscar Piastri wins the race

Published race-winner probability from The Data Driver model.

YES PROBABILITY

4.8%

Yes 4.8%No 95.2%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Race prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
20.9%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
87.4%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P6.9

Model expectation

Expected points
8.5

Model expectation