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LIVE PREDICTION

R17 · Formula 1 Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix 2026

Liam Lawson wins the race

Published race-winner probability from The Data Driver model.

YES PROBABILITY

1.2%

Yes 1.2%No 98.8%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Race prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
7.4%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
74.8%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P8.8

Model expectation

Expected points
5

Model expectation