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LIVE PREDICTION

R17 · Formula 1 Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix 2026

Charles Leclerc wins the race

Published race-winner probability from The Data Driver model.

YES PROBABILITY

12.3%

Yes 12.3%No 87.7%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Race prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
40.9%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
93.8%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P5.2

Model expectation

Expected points
12.2

Model expectation