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R16 · Formula 1 Gulf Air Bahrain Grand Prix in Malaysia 2026
Liam Lawson wins the race
Published race-winner probability from The Data Driver model.
YES PROBABILITY
0.25%
Yes 0.25%No 99.8%
PUBLISHED SOURCE
Race prediction endpoint
MODEL
ensemble-elo-form-team-v4
What the API provides
- Podium
- 1.5%
- Points finish
- 52.2%
- Expected finish
- P10.9
- Expected points
- 2.1
Published probability of a top-three finish
Published probability of finishing in the points
Model expectation
Model expectation