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LIVE PREDICTION

R16 · Formula 1 Gulf Air Bahrain Grand Prix in Malaysia 2026

Charles Leclerc wins the race

Published race-winner probability from The Data Driver model.

YES PROBABILITY

9.5%

Yes 9.5%No 90.5%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Race prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
33.7%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
93.9%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P5.6

Model expectation

Expected points
11.2

Model expectation