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LIVE PREDICTION

R16 · Formula 1 Gulf Air Bahrain Grand Prix in Malaysia 2026

Oscar Piastri wins the race

Published race-winner probability from The Data Driver model.

YES PROBABILITY

3.8%

Yes 3.8%No 96.2%

PUBLISHED SOURCE

Race prediction endpoint

MODEL

ensemble-elo-form-team-v4

PUBLISHED MODEL OUTPUTS

What the API provides

Podium
16.8%

Published probability of a top-three finish

Points finish
90.5%

Published probability of finishing in the points

Expected finish
P7

Model expectation

Expected points
8

Model expectation