George Russell
Leading the 2026 Drivers' Championship after a dominant start to the season. Two race victories from two rounds, including pole positions at both Melbourne and Shanghai. The W17 suits Russell's precise, consistent driving style.
Next Race Predictions
P(Win)
28%
P(Podium)
72%
E[Position]
2.1
E[Points]
20
Position Distribution
Probability of finishing in each position (10,000 simulations)
2026 Season Results
| Round | Race | Result |
|---|---|---|
| R01 | Australian GP | P1 |
| R02 | Chinese GP | P2 |
| R03 | Japanese GP | P4 |
Head-to-Head vs Kimi Antonelli
Qualifying
1-2
Race
1-2
Points
+4
Predictions
Russell wins the Japanese Grand Prix
Russell 2026 World Champion
Russell wins the Australian Grand Prix
Result: Yes. Russell won from pole. Model gave only 26% — underestimated Mercedes.
Russell wins the Chinese Grand Prix
Result: No. Antonelli won instead. Model correctly favoured No at 69%.
Related Analysis
Antonelli's First Win in Numbers
How the second-year Mercedes driver broke through in China
Mercedes' 2026 Comeback
From P5 in the constructors' to the fastest car on the grid
The 2026 Regulation Reset
How new rules broke every prediction model — including ours
How We Predict F1 Races
A complete guide to our machine learning methodology